Every Thursday, our guy Keith Eyster drops some early plays to grab ahead of Sunday’s games.

These prop markets move so quickly, and you can find some serious closing line value.

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GARRETT WILSON MORE THAN 62.5 RECEIVING YARDS (play to 67.5)

You can get this pick at Sleeper now!

Garrett Wilson has quickly established himself as one of the premier receivers in football and owns one of the best roles in the league as the clear alpha in the Jets’ passing game.

He ranks second in the NFL with a 33.6% target share, fifth with a 46.9% share of air yards, and first with a 46.9% first-read rate – numbers that illustrate just how central he is to this offense.

That elite usage has already translated into consistent production, as Wilson has topped 80 receiving yards in three of his first four games.

The only game he didn’t hit that mark came in a contest against Buffalo, where the Jets failed to throw for even 100 yards total, yet he still managed to post 50 yards on his own.

This week, Wilson gets a dream matchup against a Cowboys secondary that has been shredded to start the season.

Dallas has allowed more passing yards than any team in the league, giving up an eye-popping 297.3 per game. To put that in perspective, it’s over 30 yards more than the Ravens, who rank second-worst in that category.

With Wilson’s role as the unquestioned number one option and the Jets almost certain to lean on him heavily in what projects as a competitive, high-scoring game (47.5-point total, 2.5-point spread), the stage is set for another strong performance.

All signs point toward Wilson once again commanding elite volume, and clearing 62.5 receiving yards stands out as one of the most reliable props on the slate this week.

CHUBA HUBBARD MORE THAN 54.5 RUSHING YARDS (play to 59.5) 

Panthers running back Chuba Hubbard saw just 10 carries in last week’s 42-13 loss to New England, as game script quickly took the rushing attack out of play.

Even with the light workload, he remains the clear lead option in Carolina’s backfield, logging a 64% snap share and handling 52% of the team’s rushing attempts. When games are competitive, Hubbard’s role has been secure, and this week sets up much more favorably.

Carolina enters as a narrow 1.5-point home underdog against the 1-3 Dolphins, a matchup that should feature a neutral script rather than the uphill battle they faced last week.

That matters because Miami has quietly been one of the best matchups in the league for opposing backs.

Through four games, the Dolphins have surrendered the third-most rushing yards, consistently allowing opponents to establish the ground game.

If this contest stays tight, Hubbard should be on the field throughout, with ample opportunity to rack up efficient carries.

So far this season, Hubbard has topped 55 rushing yards in two of four outings despite facing three opponents (the Patriots, Cardinals, and Jaguars) that rank inside the top 10 in fewest rushing yards allowed.

In other words, Hubbard has faced a tough opening schedule and still managed to flash productivity.

^{Looking for Thursday’s Rams vs. 49ers picks?}

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