We’ve officially made it through one week of NFL football, and there is no shortage of storylines!

Every Thursday, our guy Keith Eyster is going to drop some early plays to grab ahead of Sunday’s games. These prop markets move so quickly, and you can find some serious closing line value.

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GARRETT WILSON HIGHER THAN 62.5 RECEIVING YARDS (play to 69.5)

The Jets’ offensive outburst against a tough Steelers defense was one of Week 1’s biggest surprises.

Justin Fields delivered one of his best games as a pro, completing 72.7% of his passes while showing newfound poise in the pocket.

His top target, though, was no surprise at all. Garrett Wilson commanded a massive 36.4% target share, nearly triple that of the next Jets pass catcher, and hauled in seven of nine targets for 95 yards.

He also led the team in first-read rate (36.4%) and air yards share (51.5%), underscoring his featured role.

Dating back to Chicago, Fields has always leaned heavily on a favorite receiver, and that tendency is clearly alive in New York.

The chemistry between Fields and Wilson traces back to their Ohio State days, and the talent gap between Wilson and the rest of this receiving corps is glaring.

Week 2 brings a matchup with Buffalo, who just surrendered 143 yards to Zay Flowers in a comeback win over Baltimore.

With the Jets listed as 6.5-point home underdogs, they could be forced into a pass-heavy game script if they are unable to keep up with the elite offense on the other side.

Given Fields’ trust in Wilson and the Bills’ early struggles containing WR1s, Wilson is a strong bet to clear 62.5 receiving yards.

Where to play: Garrett Wilson Higher Than 62.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

TYLER WARREN HIGHER THAN 41.5 RECEIVING YARDS (play to 46.5)

In a Week 1 demolition of the Dolphins, Colts rookie tight end Tyler Warren emerged as a featured weapon despite running a route on fewer than 70% of Joe Flacco’s dropbacks.

Even with the limited route rate, Warren commanded a team-leading 31% target share, catching seven of nine looks for 76 yards in a game the Colts controlled by three scores at halftime.

Head coach Shane Steichen moved his new weapon all over the formation, with 52% of routes coming in-line, 39% from the slot, and 9% out wide.

Warren also tied veteran WR1 Michael Pittman for the team lead in first-read rate at 30% despite running five fewer routes.

Week 2 brings a tougher test against Denver, where All-Pro corner Patrick Surtain locks down the boundary and could funnel targets inside.

With a tighter or even negative game script, Warren’s volume ceiling is potentially higher than what we saw in his debut.

Add in another controlled dome environment at home, and Warren looks like a strong play to clear 41.5 receiving yards in his second career game.

Where to play: Tyler Warren Higher Than 41.5 Receiving Yards | Underdog

^{Looking for Thursday’s Commanders vs. Packers picks?}

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