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🎯 Props.com Top Props: Today's Playbook (11/4)

Your inside scoop on today's BEST props

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Explore Props.com
04 Nov • Reading Time: 7 minutes

Welcome!

Welcome to the NEW Props.com newsletter – your one-stop shop for winning picks, top props, and a dash of insider wit. We’re excited to kick things off! Let us know what you want more of by replying to this email.

Props Up Top

No nonsense props. Boom!

  • 🚨 Otton Alert: Cade Otton is primed for a big night against the Chiefs’ weak tight end defense. With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin out, expect him to clear OVER 47.5 receiving yards.

  • 🔥 Hunt’s Ground Game: Kareem Hunt steps into a massive role with Pacheco sidelined. With 20+ carries in each of his last three games, he’s a solid bet to hit OVER 69.5 rushing yards against Tampa Bay.

  • 🚨 Braun Breakout Alert: Christian Braun is thriving in a larger role, averaging 35 minutes and filling the stat sheet. Facing the Raptors’ fast pace and weak defense, bet on him to hit OVER 19.5 PRA.

Prop Quiz

🧠 Reply with your pick for a chance to win a Twitter shout-out!

  • Ja Morant (Grizzlies) - Over or Under 41 Fantasy Score?

With key players out, Ja Morant has taken on a larger role, averaging impressive fantasy scores. After putting up 59 and 43.2 points in recent games, can he maintain this level against Brooklyn? Or will the heavy workload catch up to him? Reply with your pick for a chance to win!

🏈 NFL Must-Play Props

Here are our latest articles, summarized for quick picks. Click to read more.

  • Xavier Worthy First TD Scorer (+755)

    • Scored five touchdowns in seven games, with versatility as both a runner and receiver.

    • Chiefs’ balanced offense, but Tampa Bay’s pass-funnel defense (64% situation-neutral pass rate) boosts his chances.

    • Bucs have allowed the sixth-most receiving yards per game to wideouts.

  • Noah Gray MORE than 0.5 Rush + Receiving TDs

    • Chiefs' pass rate inside the 10-yard line has slightly increased from 43.5% (Week 5) to 44.4% (Week 7).

    • Gray’s route participation has climbed from 29.7% (Week 5) to 45.9% (Week 7).

    • Tampa Bay has allowed four receiving touchdowns to tight ends in eight games.

📊 Prop Data Shop

Cade Otton is stepping into a significant role in the Tampa Bay offense, especially with injuries sidelining Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Over the last two games, Otton has been a primary target, totaling 17 receptions for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns. His latest performance saw him rack up 81 yards on 9 catches. Facing a Chiefs defense that allows a league-high 80.9 receiving yards per game to tight ends, Otton is positioned to thrive. Given his recent usage and the favorable matchup, expect him to comfortably exceed 47.5 receiving yards.

🏀 NBA Must-Play Props

Here are our latest articles, summarized for quick picks. Click to read more.

  • Kyle Filipowski First Basket Scorer (+700)

    • The Jazz dominate in opening tips, winning four of six this season.

    • Filipowski has secured the first basket in both of his starts, highlighting his early-game efficiency.

  • Jaylen Wells First Basket Scorer (+1100)

    • The Grizzlies have secured the first possession in five of seven games.

    • With the Nets struggling to win tip-offs, Wells is positioned to take advantage and score first.

  • Jalen Suggs MORE Than 2.5 3-pointers

    • Averaging 17.4 points and 2.7 3-pointers per game this season.

    • Increased usage rate (+2.03%) with Paolo Banchero out, second only to Franz Wagner on the team.

    • Facing a Thunder team allowing the fourth-fewest 3-pointers per game, but Suggs’ volume (7.5 attempts per game) offers value.

  • Nikola Jovic Higher Than 7.5 Points

    • Scored in double figures in 3 of 5 games this season.

    • Poised for a breakout with increased minutes and role, despite a low recent performance.

    • Facing the Kings, a team playing at the eighth-fastest pace, promising a higher-scoring environment.

🔥 Stop, Drop, and Bankroll

Want to use your FanDuel/DraftKings profit-boost on a parlay? Bet our 💥 Parlay of the Day

James Harden UNDER 16.5 Rebounds + Assists
Harden faces a disciplined Spurs defense that limits guard production. This defensive setup could make it tough for him to hit his R+A number.

Scotty Pippen Jr. OVER 16.5 Points + Assists
Pippen Jr. has a good shot to thrive against the Nets, who rank middle-of-the-pack in guard defense. With the Grizzlies dealing with injuries, he should see significant court time and exceed this combined line.

Al Horford OVER 14.5 Points + Rebounds
Horford benefits from a matchup against the Hawks, who are playing their third game in four nights and are susceptible to big men. This sets him up to surpass his projection.

Travis Kelce OVER 5.5 Receptions
Kelce is poised for a high-volume game against the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay ranks 14th in receptions allowed to tight ends, with projections pointing to about 9 targets for Week 9 MNF.

Our streak is heating up at 8 wins! Join us in the Underdog and PrizePicks challenges as we go for more—track our picks and jump into the action!

🏆 Today’s Picks

Underdog: Ja Morant > 36.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists - High-usage player with key teammates out; we’re counting on him to fill the stat sheet in a competitive game.

PrizePicks: DeMar DeRozan > 22.5 Points - Consistent scoring form, hitting this mark in five of six games; we’re betting on another strong performance tonight.

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