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🎯 Props.com Top Props: Today's Playbook (11/10)

Your inside scoop on today's BEST props

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10 Nov • Reading Time: 7 minutes

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Welcome to the NEW Props.com newsletter – your one-stop shop for winning picks, top props, and a dash of insider wit. We’re excited to kick things off! Let us know what you want more of by replying to this email.

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Props Up Top

No nonsense props. Boom!

  • 🚨 Rudy Gobert Alert: Gobert has a prime opportunity to shine tonight against the Miami Heat, who are surrendering a league-high 18.7 rebounds per game to centers. With 15 rebounds in his last game and two additional 14-rebound performances this season, Gobert's 10.5 rebound line offers great value. Play at Sleeper (1.64x).

  • 🔥 Jalen Suggs Breakout Watch: Suggs faces a dream matchup against the Wizards, whose defense leaks points and boards to guards. With 28.5 PRA within reach, his expanded role without Paolo Banchero could lead to a big night. Pick him on PrizePicks!

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Brock Purdy - Higher or Lower than 260.5 Passing Yards?

With Christian McCaffrey back and a juicy matchup against a Tampa Bay defense struggling to stop the pass, Purdy has a prime opportunity to shine. The 49ers are healthier than they’ve been in weeks, and Tampa Bay’s offense might keep this competitive enough to force Purdy to throw more.

Will he hit this line? Reply and let us know!

🏈 NFL Top Props

Here are our latest articles, summarized for quick picks. Click to read more.

  • Tony Pollard OVER 15.5 Rushing Attempts
    Despite the Titans’ struggles and a tough matchup against the Chargers, Pollard has consistently seen high-volume work. With at least 16 carries in all but one game and 28 last week, Pollard’s role is secure even in unfavorable game scripts.

  • Josh Downs OVER 64.5 Receiving Yards
    Downs thrives as Joe Flacco’s go-to target, boasting a 40% target rate on routes in Week 9. With Pittman sidelined and a favorable matchup against a struggling Bills secondary, Downs is primed for a big day.

George Kittle Higher Than 0.5 Rush + Receiving Touchdowns

The Buccaneers’ defense has struggled to contain tight ends, allowing the third-most receptions (55), second-most yards (627), and sixth-most touchdowns (4) to the position. Recent performances against them include Kyle Pitts (91 yards, 2 TDs) and Mark Andrews (2 TDs), setting up a favorable matchup for Kittle.

📊 Prop Data Shop

Justin Jefferson First Touchdown Scorer (+455)

  • Justin Jefferson is one of the league's most consistent wide receivers, averaging between 15.2 and 23.3 fantasy points per game this season.

  • The Jaguars rank last in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to outside receivers, giving up a massive 27.4 points per game.

  • The Jaguars have allowed explosive games to alpha receivers, including Tyreek Hill (7-130-1) and Nico Collins (12-151-1).

  • Jefferson has the skill set and consistency to capitalize on this favorable matchup, making him a strong candidate for the first touchdown.

🏀 NBA Top Props

Here are our latest articles, summarized for quick picks. Click to read more.

  • Bradley Beal First Basket Scorer (+700)

    • Phoenix Suns are dominating the tip-off battle, winning 7 of their first 9 contests.

    • Beal has scored the team’s first bucket in 3 of his 7 starts and the first overall in 2 games.

    • With Kevin Durant out, Beal’s usage increases by 4.54%, making him a focal point early in the game.

  • Nikola Jovic First Basket Scorer (+1000)

    • Miami Heat excel at winning opening tips, claiming victory in 75% of them this season.

    • Jovic is Sunday’s most frequent first shooter, attempting the first shot in 42.9% of his games.

    • With the Timberwolves struggling on tip-offs (3-9), expect Miami to create an early look for Jovic again.

Jalen Suggs MORE Than 28.5 PRA

  • Suggs is averaging 16.3 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 4.4 assists this season while stepping into a bigger role with Paolo Banchero sidelined.

  • Over the last five games, he’s averaging 15.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.8 assists in 33.7 minutes per game.

  • Faces the Washington Wizards, one of the worst defenses against point guards, allowing the 7th-most points (27.3), 2nd-most rebounds (7.7), and assists (11.5) per game.

  • Suggs has flashed the ability to hit this number on scoring alone, with ample opportunity to pad it with rebounds and assists.

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  • D’Andre Swift 70+ Rushing Yards (-120)

    • Swift has hit 70+ yards in four of his last five games, and he’s facing the Patriots, who allow the second-most rushing yards per game to running backs. With the Bears as favorites, expect Swift to get plenty of opportunities in a game script that favors the run.

  • Sam Darnold OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-135)

    • Darnold has thrown 2+ TDs in six of his eight starts this season. He’s up against the Jaguars, a defense that ranks near the bottom in passing touchdowns allowed and has an implied team total of 25.5 points.

  • Dalton Kincaid 40+ Receiving Yards (-145)

    • Kincaid faces the Colts, who allow the 6th-most receiving yards to tight ends. He’s hit this mark in four games and posted 47 yards against another soft TE defense in Baltimore. A favorable matchup should make this prop achievable.

  • Brian Thomas Jr. 50+ Receiving Yards (-105)

    • Thomas is averaging 66.1 receiving yards per game and has hit this number in five of nine contests. With a juicy matchup against a Vikings defense allowing the second-most receiving yards to wide receivers, Thomas is in a great spot to deliver.

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